Now displaying: June, 2017
Jun 24, 2017
Senate healthcare debate. People sold on lower premiums? Tax credits? Essential benefits? Medicaid? Prior conditions? Rand Paul-Mike Lee-Ron Johnson-Ted Cruz-Dean Heller. GOP is mean & death party! GA-6 a near-death experience for Dems. Trump referendum! What do Dems stand for? Universal child care tax credits? Universal income? Hate biz? Hate fossil fuel? Tax rich? Sanders/Warren/Pelosi. GOP polling on economy? Urgent push for tax cuts? Cancel August recess vaca? Made case for tax cuts & jobs & wages? Stocks: Should Fed pause on rate hikes & balance sheet? Where's inflation? Energy crash? $25 bbl Chevron? Potus giving Chiefs decision-making. But where's end game? Money & Politics: Are Potus & Congress making the sale on tax cuts, health premiums, regs, infrastructure?
Jun 17, 2017
Steve Scalise, Nancy Pelosi, & a return to Civility. 3 Easy Pieces: biz tax cut attached to health reconciliation. If not. no summer (recess) vacation. Trump: no charge on Russian collusion. So how can you obstruct something that doesn't exist. Attack Mueller? Tweets? Leave to defense team? Off front pages, better chance to get growth policy done. Jeff Sessions: 100 ambassadors at Mayflower reception! Sr. Armed Service Comm. Trump rolls back Obama Cuba policy. Policy substance or politics? Hurt Cuban entrepreneurs? Travel, transactions, dollars, human rights. Venezuela? Where else Cuban army in Western Hemisphere? Steve Moore on Father's Day. Fed tightening too fast? Softening econ, inflation, rates, commodities.Real wages have gone nowhere. They need tax cuts to raise real rates. Gary Cohn in charge of Fed chair search. What does he believe? Biz expensing cheaper? 25 year window. 3% growth. CT story a national story? Econ polls for Trump?
Jun 10, 2017
3 Easy Pieces: GOP must get biz tax cuts attached to health reconciliation to get job done. No summer recess until this happens. Mark Meadows of Freedom Caucus. Make reconciliation a GOP weapon, not an obstacle. Down w/ CBO. Up w/ Mulvaney & Mnuchin. 3% growth budget. Final deal on Repeal & Replace? Trump speeches from Oval Office. Comey hearing didn't live up to its notices. Trump stocks up 2.5%. Trump vindicated on Russia & obstruct justice. Jared Kushner hear about nothing. Only thing Comey didn't leak was Trump not in Russian probe. Trump offers 100% lie detector. Why not let his defense lawyers handle everthing & stay focused on agenda? Stocks too complacent? Political risk? Brexit? Macron? Tax cuts? Why should Fed tighten after June? Inflation down. Commodities & oil. Theresa May Tories clobbered. Brexit? Terror attacks? Squishy policies? Will she be replaced? Minority majority. Money & Politics: Infrastucture. 3 easy pieces. Reconciliation. Overthrow CBO. Drain the swamp.
Jun 3, 2017
Adieu to Paris. Trump totally right. Would any other GOP prez have done it? Trump most conservative since Reagan. Media endorsements. Econ growth. Climate change models & causes still unknown. Trump concerned about climate, but bad deal. Nuclear power? G-7: no talk of stable money & supply-side policies. Softer jobs v. falling unemployment.Bad but not terrible.Wage income proxy still around 2% real, 4% nominal. Participation rates falling. Is ADP a better? Inflation slowing. Commodities flat. Fed tightenings? Stocks rallied on Paris pullout. Biz investment a bit stronger. Interest rates? Eurozone inflation back below 1%.j Melissa Francis new book: "Lessons from the Prairie." Markets & Trump. Elon Musk, Lloyd Blankfein. ExxonMobil. GE all wanted Paris. Mick Mulvaney: time for CBO has come and gone. POTUS: 51 for all Senate votes; get rid of filibuster. Attach tax cuts to healthcare. BAT tax dead. Aetna leaving CT. 1853. David Tepper leaves NJ. 12% of revenues.
©Kudlow & Co., LLC